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2026 Victorian State Election

Head to Head – Preferential Split
Jess Wilson (Liberal)
51%
vs
Jacinta Allan (Labor)
49%
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Key Seats
Albert Park
Bass
Bayswater
Nepean
Ripon
South Barwon
Mildura
Morwell
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Jess Wilson (Liberal)
  • Reform property tax – Housing affordability
  • Criminalise coercive control – Tougher on crime
  • Reduce state debt – Reduce budget spend
Jacinta Allan (Labor)
  • Public transport subsidy – Cost of living
  • Build more social housing – Council-specific targets
  • Major infrastructure projects
Latest News
Victoria enters election year on political knife’s edge Read
Victorian Premier delivers state apology to First Peoples Read
‘Mismanaged the budget’: Jess Wilson takes aim at Allan government Read
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Our Prediction – Labor Wins
In order to win, The Coalition must take all in doubt seats that Labor currently hold, along with winning their own strongholds, their own in doubt seats and all swing seats to hit the minimum required to form government. Mathematically, they may gain ground but without an incredible collapse of Labor, the Liberals are unlikely to have the numbers at this stage.
Seat Landscape:
Australian Labor Party (Red)

Bellarine

Bendigo East

Bendigo West

Bentleigh

Broadmeadows

Bundoora

Carrum

Clarinda

Cranbourne

Dandenong

Eltham

Essendon

Footscray

Frankston

Geelong

Greenvale

Ivanhoe

Kororoit

Lara

Macedon

Melton

Mill Park

Monbulk

Mordialloc

Mulgrave

Narre Warren North

Narre Warren South

Niddrie

Oakleigh

Pascoe Vale

Preston

St Albans

Sunbury

Sydenham

Tarneit

Thomastown

Wendouree

Werribee

Williamstown

Yan Yean

Ashwood

Box Hill

Eureka

Glen Waverley

Greenvale

Hastings

Kalkallo

Laverton

Northcote

Pakenham

Point Cook


Liberal Party (Deep Blue)

Benambra

Berwick

Brighton

Bulleen

Caulfield

Croydon

Eildon

Hawthorn

Kew

Malvern

Mornington

Narracan

Polwarth

Rowville

Sandringham

South-West Coast

Warrandyte

Hawthorn

Prahran


Greens (Light Green)

Melbourne

Brunswick

Richmond


Nationals (Dark Green)

Euroa

Gippsland East

Gippsland South

Lowan

Murray Plains

Ovens Valley

Shepparton


Independent (Sky Blue)

Ringwood


Swing Seats (Grey)

Albert Park

Bass

Bayswater

Nepean

Ripon

South Barwon

Mildura

Morwell